I am not a numbers guy. The saying “I was told there would be no math” plays an important role in my life. But I get the basics.
I heard an ad from NHTSA on the Dennis Miller Option podcast about seatbelts. The key statistic in the ad, the one that is really supposed to motivate to buckle up is that 51% of all fatalities in crashes were people who were not wearing seatbelts.
Not being an expert at statistics I hear that and I think seatbelts aren’t making that much difference. You have pretty much the same odds of being killed in a crash if you’re wearing a seatbelt or not.
To my non-mathematical brain, there seems to be no advantage to seatbelt wearing other than avoiding the $70 ticket.